Model line
San Francisco −11.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Francisco 89%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
San Francisco home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes San Francisco a 11.9-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota offense vs San Francisco defense
| South Dakota O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#36 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 49.9#241 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 16.6#173 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 28.7#244 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 45.2#4 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 9.4#179 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 46.1#316 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 50.7#227 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 32.3#267 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 74.2#120 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#252 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs South Dakota defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | South Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #3671.4 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #31754.5 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #22715.9 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #17930.3 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #8431.0 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #3426.0 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #942.8 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #32355.7 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #21834.5 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #36130.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | L 62–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | South Dakota St.237 | W 75–70 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 89–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Denver243 | L 70–90 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
