Model line
San Francisco −0.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Francisco 54%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
San Francisco home
46%Win probability54%
The model makes San Francisco a 0.9-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNLV offense vs San Francisco defense
| UNLV O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#68 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 53.6#83 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 17.3#225 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 30.7#175 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 41.2#44 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 8.0#61 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 51.6#203 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 53.7#96 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 35.6#87 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 68.0#327 | FT% | — |
| 36.1#246 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs UNLV defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | UNLV D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #6870.7 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #23252.3 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #13217.3 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #22331.4 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #35045.1 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #3312.7 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #28756.1 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #19752.0 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #26135.2 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #28036.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNLV
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Tulsa104 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | UC Irvine109 | W 75–72 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah St.56 | L 60–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wyoming117 | W 73–70 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | San Diego St.73 | L 86–89 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
