Model line
San Francisco −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Francisco 86%
Projected tempo
68.9
possessions
Site
San Francisco home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes San Francisco a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Louisiana offense vs San Francisco defense
| Louisiana O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#354 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 47.1#335 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 16.8#182 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 28.3#255 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 28.7#335 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 8.0#57 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 45.9#318 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 44.8#356 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 33.6#191 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 70.4#257 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#157 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs Louisiana defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Louisiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #35464.1 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #24652.6 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #8418.3 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #27232.3 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #35245.8 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #9710.8 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #10449.7 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #20852.2 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #28935.6 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #28136.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Louisiana
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | James Madison143 | L 72–87 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Georgia St.205 | W 84–75 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Arkansas St.186 | L 58–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Troy152 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Texas St.113 | W 67–54 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
