Model line
San Francisco −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Francisco 86%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
San Francisco home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes San Francisco a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Portland St. offense vs San Francisco defense
| Portland St. O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#148 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 50.6#210 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 16.9#194 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 30.0#202 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 37.1#127 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 7.4#25 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 51.2#212 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 51.5#193 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 32.6#252 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 71.0#238 | FT% | — |
| 34.4#288 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs Portland St. defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Portland St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #14869.0 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #5948.8 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #9818.0 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #2426.4 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #33742.8 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #7311.3 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #19552.8 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #6449.0 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #8132.3 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #17339.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Portland St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Montana228 | L 72–75 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho St.327 | W 85–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Weber St.288 | W 84–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Montana228 | L 68–74 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Montana St.134 | L 69–84 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
