Model line
San Francisco −11.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Francisco 88%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
San Francisco home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes San Francisco a 11.3-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana offense vs San Francisco defense
| Montana O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#49 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 55.8#24 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 19.6#341 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 20.7#363 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 36.8#136 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 8.7#124 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 55.1#112 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 56.5#37 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 36.6#37 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 77.3#27 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#139 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs Montana defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Montana D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #4971.1 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #12850.5 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #32514.3 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #14129.6 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #11832.6 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #3376.2 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #7748.4 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #18751.9 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #7832.3 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #23438.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Idaho238 | L 66–77 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Portland St.209 | W 75–72 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Northern Colorado194 | W 95–89 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 57–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Portland St.209 | W 74–68 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
