Model line
San Francisco −7.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Francisco 79%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
San Francisco home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes San Francisco a 7.6-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota St. offense vs San Francisco defense
| North Dakota St. O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#193 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 53.2#94 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 15.6#113 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 32.9#92 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 30.6#290 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 9.3#164 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 53.0#166 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 53.3#117 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 35.4#96 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 71.4#227 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#119 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs North Dakota St. defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | North Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #19368.2 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #21252.0 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #6518.7 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #1425.5 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #4729.2 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #2078.8 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #28556.1 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #24053.0 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #17733.9 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #4244.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 67–92 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota328 | W 70–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 74–50 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Oral Roberts261 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | North Dakota328 | W 96–63 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
