Model line
UNC Wilmington −7.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 78%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Georgia Southern home
78%Win probability23%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Wilmington offense vs Georgia Southern defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Georgia Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #4771.1 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #23052.3 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #6318.7 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #34235.2 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #31641.4 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #1449.9 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #3946.4 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #23252.9 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #19934.3 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #17939.5 |
Georgia Southern offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Georgia Southern O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#47 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 51.4#176 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 14.6#46 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 28.8#239 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 39.6#64 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 9.2#157 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 41.1#356 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 52.7#140 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 33.4#201 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 74.3#111 | FT% | — |
| 48.9#20 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
Georgia Southern
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Troy152 | L 61–77 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marshall241 | W 82–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Coastal Carolina240 | W 96–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | South Alabama244 | W 94–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Arkansas St.186 | W 80–77 |
