Model line
Northern Kentucky −11.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Northern Kentucky 89%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Northern Kentucky home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Northern Kentucky a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia Southern offense vs Northern Kentucky defense
| Georgia Southern O | Stat | Northern Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#47 | Tempo | #5870.9 |
| 51.4#176 | eFG% | #30454.2 |
| 14.6#46 | TOV% | #6718.6 |
| 28.8#239 | ORB% | #23331.6 |
| 39.6#64 | FT rate | #24537.2 |
| 9.2#157 | Block% | #1529.8 |
| 41.1#356 | Assist% | #18852.6 |
| 52.7#140 | 2P% | #26953.8 |
| 33.4#201 | 3P% | #33436.6 |
| 74.3#111 | FT% | — |
| 48.9#20 | 3PA rate | #22938.1 |
Northern Kentucky offense vs Georgia Southern defense
| Northern Kentucky O | Stat | Georgia Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#58 | Tempo | #4771.1 |
| 53.2#95 | eFG% | #23052.3 |
| 16.3#156 | TOV% | #6318.7 |
| 32.2#118 | ORB% | #34235.2 |
| 35.9#157 | FT rate | #31641.4 |
| 7.7#40 | Block% | #1449.9 |
| 55.5#101 | Assist% | #3946.4 |
| 55.5#50 | 2P% | #23252.9 |
| 33.6#192 | 3P% | #19934.3 |
| 72.1#206 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#71 | 3PA rate | #17939.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia Southern
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Troy152 | L 61–77 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marshall241 | W 82–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Coastal Carolina240 | W 96–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | South Alabama244 | W 94–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Arkansas St.186 | W 80–77 |
Northern Kentucky
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Wright St.150 | L 90–103 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Green Bay210 | W 96–76 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Oakland208 | W 85–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Wright St.150 | L 91–92 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Cleveland St.284 | W 81–70 |
