Model line
UCF −30.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF >99%
Projected tempo
72.4
possessions
Site
UCF home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes UCF a 30.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia Southern offense vs UCF defense
| Georgia Southern O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#47 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 51.4#176 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 14.6#46 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 28.8#239 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 39.6#64 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 9.2#157 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 41.1#356 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 52.7#140 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 33.4#201 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 74.3#111 | FT% | — |
| 48.9#20 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Georgia Southern defense
| UCF O | Stat | Georgia Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #4771.1 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #23052.3 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #6318.7 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #34235.2 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #31641.4 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #1449.9 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #3946.4 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #23252.9 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #19934.3 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #17939.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia Southern
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Troy152 | L 61–77 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marshall241 | W 82–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Coastal Carolina240 | W 96–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | South Alabama244 | W 94–85 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Arkansas St.186 | W 80–77 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
