Model line
Texas A&M Commerce −2.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas A&M Commerce 59%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Texas A&M Commerce home
41%Win probability59%
The model makes Texas A&M Commerce a 2.1-point favorite, winning about 59 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| UT Rio Grande Valley O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#275 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 54.8#49 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 18.5#300 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 28.2#259 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 28.9#332 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 10.2#258 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 59.9#36 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 54.5#77 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 36.8#35 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 76.3#45 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#99 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | UT Rio Grande Valley D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #27566.5 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #3947.8 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #20416.3 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #26632.1 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #28338.9 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #2757.8 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #32158.1 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #6949.2 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #1930.4 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #22638.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UT Rio Grande Valley
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | McNeese St.99 | L 80–84 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Nicholls St.287 | W 86–68 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Northwestern St.296 | W 74–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 63–55 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | McNeese St.99 | L 68–75 |
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
