Model line
Incarnate Word −8.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Incarnate Word 80%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Incarnate Word home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Incarnate Word a 8.0-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Incarnate Word offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
