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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Texas A&M Commerce · #323 · Slnd · 0–0McNeese St. · #99 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Feb 13 · 5:00 PM ETTownsley Law Arena · Lake Charles, LA
Model line
McNeese St. −24.4
Win probability
McNeese St. 100%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
McNeese St. home
1%Win probability100%

The model makes McNeese St. a 24.4-point favorite, winning about 100 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Texas A&M Commerce offense vs McNeese St. defense

Texas A&M Commerce OStatMcNeese St. D
68.5#175Tempo#27966.4
49.2#286eFG%#7749.3
19.2#330TOV%#124.5
25.7#329ORB%#33834.9
32.0#257FT rate#32542.1
10.7#287Block%#415.9
62.4#14Assist%#30157.2
51.2#2072P%#8249.5
31.3#3133P%#10032.7
67.9#328FT%—
46.2#443PA rate#1546.8

McNeese St. offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense

McNeese St. OStatTexas A&M Commerce D
66.4#279Tempo#17568.5
50.7#201eFG%#26752.9
14.2#28TOV%#15817.0
35.1#46ORB%#29332.8
37.4#119FT rate#16434.5
6.7#13Block%#2208.6
49.0#264Assist%#28056.0
52.3#1552P%#14451.0
31.7#2963P%#34737.3
74.4#107FT%—
35.2#2713PA rate#23538.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Texas A&M Commerce

Mon, Mar 2ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 71–84
Sat, Feb 28AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 55–63
Mon, Feb 23HHouston Christian253L 68–69
Sat, Feb 21HIncarnate Word302L 73–82
Mon, Feb 16HSoutheastern Louisiana269W 70–53

McNeese St.

Thu, Mar 19NVanderbilt21L 68–78
Wed, Mar 11NStephen F. Austin139W 76–59
Tue, Mar 10NUT Rio Grande Valley251W 84–80
Mon, Mar 2ANicholls St.287W 75–65
Sat, Feb 28ALSU N OrleansW 66–63