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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northwestern St.atTexas A&M Commerce
Northwestern St. · #296 · Slnd · 0–0Texas A&M Commerce · #323 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Feb 6 · 6:00 PM ETThe Field House · Commerce, TX
Model line
Texas A&M Commerce −5.5
Win probability
Texas A&M Commerce 72%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Texas A&M Commerce home
28%Win probability72%

The model makes Texas A&M Commerce a 5.5-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northwestern St. offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense

Northwestern St. OStatTexas A&M Commerce D
65.2#329Tempo#17568.5
48.6#301eFG%#26752.9
18.3#288TOV%#15817.0
26.1#320ORB%#29332.8
40.1#58FT rate#16434.5
9.6#200Block%#2208.6
50.7#225Assist%#28056.0
48.0#3102P%#14451.0
33.2#2173P%#34737.3
74.0#136FT%—
33.9#2993PA rate#23538.0

Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Northwestern St. defense

Texas A&M Commerce OStatNorthwestern St. D
68.5#175Tempo#32965.2
49.2#286eFG%#26953.0
19.2#330TOV%#16116.9
25.7#329ORB%#28532.6
32.0#257FT rate#22236.3
10.7#287Block%#3226.7
62.4#14Assist%#16851.9
51.2#2072P%#23452.9
31.3#3133P%#28235.5
67.9#328FT%—
46.2#443PA rate#24037.9

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northwestern St.

Sun, Mar 8NNicholls St.287L 47–61
Mon, Mar 2AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 62–74
Sat, Feb 28ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 59–71
Mon, Feb 23HIncarnate Word302W 54–49
Sat, Feb 21HHouston Christian253W 71–53

Texas A&M Commerce

Mon, Mar 2ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 71–84
Sat, Feb 28AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 55–63
Mon, Feb 23HHouston Christian253L 68–69
Sat, Feb 21HIncarnate Word302L 73–82
Mon, Feb 16HSoutheastern Louisiana269W 70–53