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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Texas A&M CommerceatNorthwestern St.
Texas A&M Commerce · #323 · Slnd · 0–0Northwestern St. · #296 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Jan 30 · 4:30 PM ETPrather Coliseum · Natchitoches, LA
Model line
Northwestern St. −8.3
Win probability
Northwestern St. 81%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Northwestern St. home
19%Win probability81%

The model makes Northwestern St. a 8.3-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Northwestern St. defense

Texas A&M Commerce OStatNorthwestern St. D
68.5#175Tempo#32965.2
49.2#286eFG%#26953.0
19.2#330TOV%#16116.9
25.7#329ORB%#28532.6
32.0#257FT rate#22236.3
10.7#287Block%#3226.7
62.4#14Assist%#16851.9
51.2#2072P%#23452.9
31.3#3133P%#28235.5
67.9#328FT%—
46.2#443PA rate#24037.9

Northwestern St. offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense

Northwestern St. OStatTexas A&M Commerce D
65.2#329Tempo#17568.5
48.6#301eFG%#26752.9
18.3#288TOV%#15817.0
26.1#320ORB%#29332.8
40.1#58FT rate#16434.5
9.6#200Block%#2208.6
50.7#225Assist%#28056.0
48.0#3102P%#14451.0
33.2#2173P%#34737.3
74.0#136FT%—
33.9#2993PA rate#23538.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Texas A&M Commerce

Mon, Mar 2ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 71–84
Sat, Feb 28AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 55–63
Mon, Feb 23HHouston Christian253L 68–69
Sat, Feb 21HIncarnate Word302L 73–82
Mon, Feb 16HSoutheastern Louisiana269W 70–53

Northwestern St.

Sun, Mar 8NNicholls St.287L 47–61
Mon, Mar 2AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 62–74
Sat, Feb 28ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 59–71
Mon, Feb 23HIncarnate Word302W 54–49
Sat, Feb 21HHouston Christian253W 71–53