Model line
Texas A&M Commerce −7.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas A&M Commerce 78%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Texas A&M Commerce home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Texas A&M Commerce a 7.4-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.2#57 | Tempo | #20866.2 |
| 50.0#125 | eFG% | #7545.2 |
| 28.3#229 | TOV% | #5522.7 |
| 11.5#239 | ORB% | #21442.4 |
| 27.5#170 | FT rate | #22461.5 |
| 18.8#220 | Block% | #1756.3 |
| 54.5#120 | Assist% | #14857.1 |
| 46.9#167 | 2P% | #11050.0 |
| 36.8#77 | 3P% | #6225.0 |
| 64.3#152 | FT% | — |
| 37.3#163 | 3PA rate | #15138.5 |
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#208 | Tempo | #5774.2 |
| 53.5#88 | eFG% | #15153.1 |
| 22.7#189 | TOV% | #21912.1 |
| 41.2#36 | ORB% | #19239.5 |
| 22.8#196 | FT rate | #17744.6 |
| 23.3#235 | Block% | #725.0 |
| 68.0#43 | Assist% | #10351.7 |
| 46.7#169 | 2P% | #10750.0 |
| 40.7#47 | 3P% | #17737.9 |
| 53.8#218 | FT% | — |
| 47.4#62 | 3PA rate | #8244.6 |
Team stats from the 2026–27 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Oklahoma St.49 | L 60–91 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin133 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar223 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.298 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce267 | W 82–73 |
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Nov 2 | A | Oklahoma59 | W 68–64 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris220 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley243 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian250 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word314 | L 73–82 |
