Model line
Texas A&M Commerce −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas A&M Commerce 61%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Texas A&M Commerce home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Texas A&M Commerce a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston Christian offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Houston Christian O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#347 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 49.7#249 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 18.9#316 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 29.9#205 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 36.0#150 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 9.9#229 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 58.7#46 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 50.9#216 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 31.7#291 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 69.4#287 | FT% | — |
| 36.5#238 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Houston Christian defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Houston Christian D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #34764.4 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #30354.2 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #11717.6 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #28332.5 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #8030.7 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #10710.6 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #22053.8 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #31355.3 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #24435.0 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #25437.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston Christian
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | LSU N Orleans | L 60–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Lamar250 | W 75–53 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 56–77 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 69–68 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 53–71 |
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
