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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Texas A&M CommerceatUT Rio Grande Valley
Texas A&M Commerce · #323 · Slnd · 0–0UT Rio Grande Valley · #251 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Jan 9 · 5:30 PM ETUTRGV Fieldhouse · Edinburg, TX
Model line
UT Rio Grande Valley −11.8
Win probability
UT Rio Grande Valley 89%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
UT Rio Grande Valley home
11%Win probability89%

The model makes UT Rio Grande Valley a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Texas A&M Commerce offense vs UT Rio Grande Valley defense

Texas A&M Commerce OStatUT Rio Grande Valley D
68.5#175Tempo#27566.5
49.2#286eFG%#3947.8
19.2#330TOV%#20416.3
25.7#329ORB%#26632.1
32.0#257FT rate#28338.9
10.7#287Block%#2757.8
62.4#14Assist%#32158.1
51.2#2072P%#6949.2
31.3#3133P%#1930.4
67.9#328FT%—
46.2#443PA rate#22638.2

UT Rio Grande Valley offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense

UT Rio Grande Valley OStatTexas A&M Commerce D
66.5#275Tempo#17568.5
54.8#49eFG%#26752.9
18.5#300TOV%#15817.0
28.2#259ORB%#29332.8
28.9#332FT rate#16434.5
10.2#258Block%#2208.6
59.9#36Assist%#28056.0
54.5#772P%#14451.0
36.8#353P%#34737.3
76.3#45FT%—
43.7#993PA rate#23538.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Texas A&M Commerce

Mon, Mar 2ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 71–84
Sat, Feb 28AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 55–63
Mon, Feb 23HHouston Christian253L 68–69
Sat, Feb 21HIncarnate Word302L 73–82
Mon, Feb 16HSoutheastern Louisiana269W 70–53

UT Rio Grande Valley

Tue, Mar 10NMcNeese St.99L 80–84
Mon, Mar 9NNicholls St.287W 86–68
Mon, Mar 2HNorthwestern St.296W 74–62
Sat, Feb 28HTexas A&M Commerce323W 63–55
Mon, Feb 23AMcNeese St.99L 68–75