Model line
Texas A&M Commerce −2.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas A&M Commerce 60%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Texas A&M Commerce home
40%Win probability60%
The model makes Texas A&M Commerce a 2.5-point favorite, winning about 60 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
New Orleans offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| New Orleans O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#110 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 49.6#260 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 20.5#353 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 35.6#35 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 46.4#2 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 9.7#211 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 52.5#181 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 50.6#230 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 31.8#288 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 74.3#114 | FT% | — |
| 33.7#304 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs New Orleans defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | New Orleans D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #11069.6 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #6849.0 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #29814.9 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #32534.5 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #29539.5 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #12810.2 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #33760.3 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #7349.3 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #8632.4 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #15740.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
New Orleans
| No completed games yet. |
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
