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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Nicholls St.atTexas A&M Commerce
Nicholls St. · #287 · Slnd · 1–0Texas A&M Commerce · #323 · Slnd · 0–0Sat, Jan 2 · 6:00 PM ETThe Field House · Commerce, TX
Model line
Texas A&M Commerce −5.6
Win probability
Texas A&M Commerce 72%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Texas A&M Commerce home
28%Win probability72%

The model makes Texas A&M Commerce a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Nicholls St. offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense

Nicholls St. OStatTexas A&M Commerce D
68.3#188Tempo#17568.5
50.6#209eFG%#26752.9
17.4#229TOV%#15817.0
28.1#262ORB%#29332.8
34.5#197FT rate#16434.5
9.9#231Block%#2208.6
52.1#190Assist%#28056.0
51.2#2062P%#14451.0
33.3#2113P%#34737.3
66.2#351FT%—
43.9#923PA rate#23538.0

Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Nicholls St. defense

Texas A&M Commerce OStatNicholls St. D
68.5#175Tempo#18868.3
49.2#286eFG%#31254.4
19.2#330TOV%#1620.5
25.7#329ORB%#31333.7
32.0#257FT rate#25937.9
10.7#287Block%#2498.2
62.4#14Assist%#28856.2
51.2#2072P%#32756.0
31.3#3133P%#22534.6
67.9#328FT%—
46.2#443PA rate#21238.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Nicholls St.

Mon, Nov 2HN AmericanW 110–56
Mon, Mar 9NUT Rio Grande Valley251L 68–86
Sun, Mar 8NNorthwestern St.296W 61–47
Mon, Mar 2HMcNeese St.99L 65–75
Sat, Feb 28HSoutheastern Louisiana269W 68–60

Texas A&M Commerce

Mon, Mar 2ATexas A&M Corpus Chris203L 71–84
Sat, Feb 28AUT Rio Grande Valley251L 55–63
Mon, Feb 23HHouston Christian253L 68–69
Sat, Feb 21HIncarnate Word302L 73–82
Mon, Feb 16HSoutheastern Louisiana269W 70–53