Model line
Lamar −12.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Lamar 90%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Lamar home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Lamar a 12.0-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Lamar defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Lamar D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #30565.8 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #15150.9 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #13017.3 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #12829.4 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #34744.4 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #3112.7 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #30857.7 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #8949.7 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #26435.3 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #24937.5 |
Lamar offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Lamar O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#305 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 47.8#317 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 18.1#279 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 35.7#34 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 27.9#343 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 8.5#101 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 55.4#105 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 47.0#332 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 32.9#236 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 70.7#249 | FT% | — |
| 33.9#297 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
Lamar
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Houston Christian253 | L 53–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Incarnate Word302 | L 60–72 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Nicholls St.287 | L 52–53 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 71–77 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 65–70 |
