Model line
Troy −0.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Troy 53%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Chattanooga home
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Troy a 0.8-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Troy offense vs Chattanooga defense
| Troy O | Stat | Chattanooga D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#253 | Tempo | #21867.6 |
| 51.5#173 | eFG% | #19451.7 |
| 17.3#224 | TOV% | #35013.2 |
| 34.6#58 | ORB% | #23931.7 |
| 36.2#145 | FT rate | #33242.6 |
| 10.9#296 | Block% | #2817.6 |
| 57.5#64 | Assist% | #20853.3 |
| 53.2#125 | 2P% | #19952.1 |
| 33.0#232 | 3P% | #19534.2 |
| 74.2#122 | FT% | — |
| 45.9#49 | 3PA rate | #4144.2 |
Chattanooga offense vs Troy defense
| Chattanooga O | Stat | Troy D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#218 | Tempo | #25366.8 |
| 54.2#60 | eFG% | #11350.2 |
| 14.4#37 | TOV% | #17516.7 |
| 21.8#357 | ORB% | #24331.7 |
| 29.7#317 | FT rate | #9531.4 |
| 7.7#37 | Block% | #2039.0 |
| 55.6#97 | Assist% | #11450.0 |
| 55.8#45 | 2P% | #19652.0 |
| 35.0#112 | 3P% | #5231.6 |
| 77.4#26 | FT% | — |
| 49.2#18 | 3PA rate | #19439.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Troy
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Nebraska19 | L 47–76 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Georgia Southern307 | W 77–61 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Southern Miss236 | W 78–70 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 80–65 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Louisiana215 | W 78–59 |
Chattanooga
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | The Citadel325 | L 85–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | VMI344 | W 86–79 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | UNC Greensboro289 | L 80–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | The Citadel325 | W 93–72 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Mercer227 | W 94–90 |
