Model line
UNC Asheville −9.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Asheville 83%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
UNC Asheville home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes UNC Asheville a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morehead St. offense vs UNC Asheville defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | UNC Asheville D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #24267.1 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #17651.3 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #25415.5 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #21831.3 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #28038.7 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #14210.0 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #8148.7 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #23152.8 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #9532.6 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #22038.4 |
UNC Asheville offense vs Morehead St. defense
| UNC Asheville O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#242 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 51.0#196 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 17.4#231 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 29.8#213 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 40.0#60 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 7.7#45 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 40.4#360 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 50.1#250 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 35.1#110 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 68.4#317 | FT% | — |
| 33.6#308 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
UNC Asheville
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | High Point61 | L 71–75 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Longwood214 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Charleston Southern316 | L 75–92 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Gardner Webb352 | W 77–71 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Radford255 | W 74–73 |
