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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

North Alabama · #315 · UAC · 0–0Morehead St. · #329 · OVC · 0–0Tue, Dec 15 · 5:00 PM ETESPN+Ellis T. Johnson Arena · Morehead, KY
Model line
Morehead St. −5.9
Win probability
Morehead St. 73%
Projected tempo
69.2
possessions
Site
Morehead St. home
27%Win probability73%

The model makes Morehead St. a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

North Alabama offense vs Morehead St. defense

North Alabama OStatMorehead St. D
65.6#312Tempo#25166.8
48.0#313eFG%#11150.2
17.5#236TOV%#26115.4
31.2#157ORB%#35135.8
37.6#113FT rate#20135.6
9.9#232Block%#2448.3
40.5#358Assist%#24754.8
49.1#2802P%#6749.1
30.7#3273P%#21734.5
68.4#315FT%—
33.7#3053PA rate#20239.0

Morehead St. offense vs North Alabama defense

Morehead St. OStatNorth Alabama D
66.8#251Tempo#31265.6
49.2#283eFG%#33655.2
18.0#271TOV%#31914.5
35.8#33ORB%#26832.2
37.7#110FT rate#6830.3
9.2#158Block%#8611.1
47.4#296Assist%#26555.4
49.7#2662P%#33856.5
32.0#2803P%#29235.7
74.1#127FT%—
30.5#3493PA rate#5843.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

North Alabama

Wed, Mar 4NFlorida Gulf Coast275L 58–69
Sat, Feb 28AWest Georgia322L 63–75
Wed, Feb 25HBellarmine305W 73–68
Sat, Feb 21ALipscomb199L 51–73
Wed, Feb 18HQueens182L 78–85

Morehead St.

Sat, Mar 7NTennessee St.204L 67–93
Fri, Mar 6NSoutheast Missouri266W 66–61
Thu, Feb 26ALittle Rock219W 76–70
Tue, Feb 24HSouthern Indiana324W 64–63
Sat, Feb 21AWestern Illinois363W 81–59