Model line
Morehead St. −5.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Morehead St. 71%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Morehead St. home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Morehead St. a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bellarmine offense vs Morehead St. defense
| Bellarmine O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#289 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 59.4#3 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 15.5#104 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 22.4#354 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 35.0#178 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 9.1#149 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 53.4#155 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 61.0#3 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 38.1#17 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 78.8#6 | FT% | — |
| 41.2#145 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Morehead St. offense vs Bellarmine defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | Bellarmine D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #28966.1 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #36559.4 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #28715.0 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #32134.2 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #15934.3 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #3435.9 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #35361.9 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #35258.1 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #36440.4 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #450.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bellarmine
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 73–86 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Jacksonville230 | W 82–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Austin Peay195 | W 111–97 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | North Alabama315 | L 68–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Eastern Kentucky283 | L 92–95 |
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
