Model line
East Tennessee St. −15.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
East Tennessee St. 95%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
East Tennessee St. home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes East Tennessee St. a 15.5-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morehead St. offense vs East Tennessee St. defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | East Tennessee St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #26666.5 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #15751.0 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #7118.5 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #6427.9 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #22436.4 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #6511.5 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #25855.2 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #22252.6 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #11132.9 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #847.7 |
East Tennessee St. offense vs Morehead St. defense
| East Tennessee St. O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#266 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 55.3#34 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 15.2#79 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 28.3#253 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 35.0#179 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 7.5#28 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 50.8#224 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 57.2#28 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 34.7#135 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 74.7#93 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#216 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
East Tennessee St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Furman147 | L 61–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Western Carolina184 | W 69–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | The Citadel325 | W 83–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Mercer227 | L 76–82 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wofford276 | L 69–72 |
