Model line
Elon −12.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Elon 90%
Projected tempo
69.5
possessions
Site
Elon home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Elon a 12.2-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morehead St. offense vs Elon defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | Elon D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #19868.0 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #30154.0 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #19316.4 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #30733.5 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #16734.6 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #2048.9 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #28356.1 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #24653.3 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #32436.5 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #3844.5 |
Elon offense vs Morehead St. defense
| Elon O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#198 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 52.2#136 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 15.9#129 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 32.2#116 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 33.5#224 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 11.2#313 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 54.6#122 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 52.8#135 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 34.3#156 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 71.4#225 | FT% | — |
| 43.2#106 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
Elon
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | William & Mary201 | L 62–72 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | UNC Wilmington107 | L 57–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Monmouth193 | L 57–73 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Towson179 | L 56–58 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina A&T300 | L 82–102 |
