Model line
Ohio −17.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio 97%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Ohio home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Ohio a 17.4-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morehead St. offense vs Ohio defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Ohio offense vs Morehead St. defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
