Model line
Western Kentucky −21.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Western Kentucky 99%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Western Kentucky home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Western Kentucky a 21.6-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Morehead St. offense vs Western Kentucky defense
| Morehead St. O | Stat | Western Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.8#251 | Tempo | #5970.9 |
| 49.2#283 | eFG% | #17451.2 |
| 18.0#271 | TOV% | #13717.2 |
| 35.8#33 | ORB% | #13529.5 |
| 37.7#110 | FT rate | #35746.8 |
| 9.2#158 | Block% | #3156.9 |
| 47.4#296 | Assist% | #30757.6 |
| 49.7#266 | 2P% | #14551.0 |
| 32.0#280 | 3P% | #20634.3 |
| 74.1#127 | FT% | — |
| 30.5#349 | 3PA rate | #9042.3 |
Western Kentucky offense vs Morehead St. defense
| Western Kentucky O | Stat | Morehead St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.9#59 | Tempo | #25166.8 |
| 47.5#329 | eFG% | #11150.2 |
| 14.5#44 | TOV% | #26115.4 |
| 31.8#134 | ORB% | #35135.8 |
| 41.2#45 | FT rate | #20135.6 |
| 11.9#338 | Block% | #2448.3 |
| 51.2#213 | Assist% | #24754.8 |
| 45.8#350 | 2P% | #6749.1 |
| 33.4#204 | 3P% | #21734.5 |
| 75.7#62 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#184 | 3PA rate | #20239.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Morehead St.
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Tennessee St.204 | L 67–93 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southeast Missouri266 | W 66–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Little Rock219 | W 76–70 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Western Illinois363 | W 81–59 |
Western Kentucky
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kennesaw St.146 | L 87–96 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | FIU187 | L 67–92 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Missouri St.263 | L 74–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | UTEP169 | W 97–65 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | New Mexico St.140 | W 93–70 |
