Model line
Arizona St. −18.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arizona St. 98%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Arizona St. home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes Arizona St. a 18.7-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Illinois offense vs Arizona St. defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Arizona St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #6970.6 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #23452.4 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #7018.5 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #33634.9 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #15834.3 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #2812.8 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #26355.4 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #21352.3 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #24335.0 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #14940.3 |
Arizona St. offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Arizona St. O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#69 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 51.1#188 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 17.1#206 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 29.8#206 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 39.5#67 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 9.6#194 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 53.0#165 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 51.7#180 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 33.4#198 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 75.3#70 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#201 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
