Model line
Little Rock −3.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Little Rock 66%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Little Rock home
34%Win probability66%
The model makes Little Rock a 3.9-point favorite, winning about 66 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Illinois offense vs Little Rock defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Little Rock offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
