Model line
Liberty −0.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Liberty 53%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Neutral
53%Win probability47%
The model makes Liberty a 0.7-point favorite, winning about 53 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Liberty offense vs Southern Illinois defense
| Liberty O | Stat | Southern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.5#340 | Tempo | #10669.7 |
| 59.1#4 | eFG% | #6949.0 |
| 13.4#12 | TOV% | #7518.5 |
| 19.3#365 | ORB% | #4727.3 |
| 31.4#272 | FT rate | #9431.4 |
| 11.0#302 | Block% | #13810.0 |
| 61.4#21 | Assist% | #17352.1 |
| 60.2#8 | 2P% | #16751.5 |
| 38.6#12 | 3P% | #1830.4 |
| 71.4#226 | FT% | — |
| 47.7#28 | 3PA rate | #11141.5 |
Southern Illinois offense vs Liberty defense
| Southern Illinois O | Stat | Liberty D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#106 | Tempo | #34064.5 |
| 49.2#285 | eFG% | #25352.7 |
| 17.0#205 | TOV% | #14117.1 |
| 30.9#170 | ORB% | #29933.1 |
| 31.3#274 | FT rate | #2227.0 |
| 8.5#104 | Block% | #1989.0 |
| 48.6#274 | Assist% | #4146.5 |
| 52.2#165 | 2P% | #11650.4 |
| 27.8#363 | 3P% | #35337.7 |
| 68.3#319 | FT% | — |
| 29.2#355 | 3PA rate | #27436.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Liberty
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | High Point61 | L 57–72 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | Nevada77 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | George Mason98 | W 77–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Missouri St.263 | L 69–77 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Sam Houston St.171 | W 79–72 |
Southern Illinois
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Drake137 | L 63–67 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Evansville273 | W 81–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 66–55 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Iowa129 | W 59–57 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Drake137 | W 66–61 |
