Model line
Marist −8.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marist 82%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Marist home
18%Win probability82%
The model makes Marist a 8.7-point favorite, winning about 82 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Marist defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Marist offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Marist O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
