Model line
Siena −8.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Siena 81%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Siena home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Siena a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Siena defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Siena D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #35164.2 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #4948.5 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #15617.0 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #13329.5 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #2827.5 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #1969.1 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #7548.3 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #5148.5 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #8232.3 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #18639.4 |
Siena offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Siena O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.2#351 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 50.4#221 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 15.8#125 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 31.8#132 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 33.4#226 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 9.5#189 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 53.2#160 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 52.5#147 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 30.6#332 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 77.1#32 | FT% | — |
| 32.2#327 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
Siena
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Duke1 | L 65–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Merrimack211 | W 64–54 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Fairfield231 | W 76–61 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mount St. Mary's299 | W 63–58 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Rider355 | W 76–61 |
