Model line
Fairfield −10.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Fairfield 87%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Fairfield home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Fairfield a 10.6-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Fairfield defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Fairfield offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
