Model line
Manhattan −4.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Manhattan 69%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Manhattan home
31%Win probability69%
The model makes Manhattan a 4.8-point favorite, winning about 69 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Manhattan defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Manhattan D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #19668.1 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #29653.9 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #17416.7 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #35837.0 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #1025.7 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #3465.9 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #35161.5 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #24753.3 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #33236.6 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #23338.0 |
Manhattan offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Manhattan O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.1#196 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 47.9#315 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 15.6#112 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 28.6#245 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 34.0#209 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 10.7#284 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 49.6#252 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 47.8#314 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 32.0#279 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 79.6#3 | FT% | — |
| 37.1#229 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
Manhattan
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Fairfield231 | L 60–71 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Iona222 | L 65–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Saint Peter's298 | L 65–75 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Marist257 | L 70–84 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Canisius339 | W 69–65 |
