Model line
Mount St. Mary's −6.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mount St. Mary's 74%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Mount St. Mary's home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Mount St. Mary's a 6.1-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Peter's offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Saint Peter's O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#317 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 46.4#347 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 17.7#254 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 37.0#17 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 35.5#165 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 10.0#241 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 53.2#159 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 46.2#346 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 31.0#321 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 73.6#149 | FT% | — |
| 38.7#197 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Saint Peter's defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Saint Peter's D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #31765.5 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #4048.1 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #2320.0 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #33234.7 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #35446.4 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #7411.3 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #20553.1 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #4348.0 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #6832.1 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #30435.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Peter's
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Fairfield231 | L 55–74 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Marist257 | W 63–56 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Manhattan331 | W 75–65 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Siena271 | L 63–72 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Iona222 | L 64–72 |
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
