Model line
Rider −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Rider 62%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Rider home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Rider a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Rider defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Rider D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #30965.7 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #33755.2 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #26915.3 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #29232.8 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #11632.5 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #1769.3 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #23754.4 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #27954.0 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #35637.9 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #16539.9 |
Rider offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Rider O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.7#309 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 42.8#365 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 16.9#195 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 32.6#102 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 30.1#307 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 8.3#82 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 44.3#342 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 43.3#362 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 27.7#365 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 70.1#272 | FT% | — |
| 27.5#361 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
Rider
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Iona222 | L 58–80 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Niagara318 | W 67–62 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Canisius339 | L 66–72 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 75–86 |
