Model line
Niagara −5.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Niagara 71%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Niagara home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes Niagara a 5.4-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Niagara defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Niagara D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #36463.1 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #25952.8 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #18116.6 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #29532.9 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #14533.8 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #2138.7 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #18252.5 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #22652.7 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #26535.3 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #14740.4 |
Niagara offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Niagara O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1#364 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 50.5#215 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 18.9#319 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 24.8#344 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 26.6#354 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 9.7#212 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 60.0#30 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 50.5#236 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 33.7#187 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 72.2#200 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#158 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
Niagara
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Merrimack211 | L 66–73 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Quinnipiac249 | W 78–76 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Rider355 | L 62–67 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 63–76 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Iona222 | W 70–68 |
