Model line
Mount St. Mary's −4.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Mount St. Mary's 70%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Mount St. Mary's home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes Mount St. Mary's a 4.9-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Lehigh offense vs Mount St. Mary's defense
| Lehigh O | Stat | Mount St. Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#268 | Tempo | #21567.7 |
| 52.9#106 | eFG% | #2347.2 |
| 17.7#251 | TOV% | #26615.3 |
| 23.2#350 | ORB% | #11429.1 |
| 31.8#259 | FT rate | #24737.3 |
| 8.3#75 | Block% | #2009.0 |
| 54.3#133 | Assist% | #19852.9 |
| 52.2#163 | 2P% | #1646.2 |
| 36.1#55 | 3P% | #7932.3 |
| 72.6#181 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#204 | 3PA rate | #3344.9 |
Mount St. Mary's offense vs Lehigh defense
| Mount St. Mary's O | Stat | Lehigh D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#215 | Tempo | #26866.5 |
| 50.6#208 | eFG% | #13450.6 |
| 22.4#364 | TOV% | #21316.2 |
| 32.3#112 | ORB% | #22031.4 |
| 33.3#231 | FT rate | #11432.5 |
| 8.5#102 | Block% | #2837.6 |
| 55.2#109 | Assist% | #1944.5 |
| 51.8#175 | 2P% | #15451.2 |
| 32.7#246 | 3P% | #11332.9 |
| 67.4#335 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#123 | 3PA rate | #35631.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Lehigh
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 55–67 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | H | Boston University309 | W 74–60 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | H | Colgate207 | W 76–69 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Holy Cross353 | W 69–66 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Bucknell335 | W 89–79 |
Mount St. Mary's
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Siena271 | L 58–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Fairfield231 | W 69–47 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Sacred Heart310 | L 69–77 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Canisius339 | W 68–47 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Niagara318 | W 76–63 |
