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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Illinois · #278 · Horz · 0–1Lindenwood · #303 · OVC · 0–0Sat, Dec 12 · 2:00 PM ETESPN+Hyland Arena · Saint Charles, MO
Model line
Lindenwood −6.2
Win probability
Lindenwood 74%
Projected tempo
71.7
possessions
Site
Lindenwood home
26%Win probability74%

The model makes Lindenwood a 6.2-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Illinois offense vs Lindenwood defense

Northern Illinois OStatLindenwood D
69.0#147Tempo#1173.0
47.6#321eFG%#7249.1
21.8#360TOV%#7918.4
30.3#189ORB%#24531.8
38.3#95FT rate#24937.4
14.5#365Block%#10010.7
51.8#195Assist%#6547.9
48.5#2982P%#7649.4
30.9#3223P%#8432.4
65.7#355FT%—
45.0#663PA rate#34832.9

Lindenwood offense vs Northern Illinois defense

Lindenwood OStatNorthern Illinois D
73.0#11Tempo#14769.0
48.0#312eFG%#34255.6
18.7#309TOV%#20216.3
33.2#86ORB%#15930.0
38.6#87FT rate#26838.3
9.5#184Block%#3525.3
49.1#260Assist%#22153.9
49.6#2692P%#33556.3
29.4#3483P%#31936.3
67.4#334FT%—
30.7#3443PA rate#24537.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Illinois

Mon, Nov 2NGrambling St.326L 87–89
Fri, Mar 6AAkron100L 55–94
Tue, Mar 3HKent St.126L 76–102
Sat, Feb 28HBall St.220L 43–79
Tue, Feb 24AToledo144L 69–79

Lindenwood

Thu, Mar 5NSoutheast Missouri266L 66–68
Wed, Mar 4NLittle Rock219W 72–62
Sat, Feb 28AWestern Illinois363W 91–69
Thu, Feb 26HEastern Illinois358L 67–71
Sat, Feb 21ATennessee Tech226L 57–72