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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Northern Illinois · #278 · Horz · 0–1Bellarmine · #305 · ASun · 0–0Sat, Nov 14 · 2:00 PM ETESPN+Knights Hall · Louisville, KY
Model line
Bellarmine −6.1
Win probability
Bellarmine 74%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Bellarmine home
26%Win probability74%

The model makes Bellarmine a 6.1-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Northern Illinois offense vs Bellarmine defense

Northern Illinois OStatBellarmine D
69.0#147Tempo#28966.1
47.6#321eFG%#36559.4
21.8#360TOV%#28715.0
30.3#189ORB%#32134.2
38.3#95FT rate#15934.3
14.5#365Block%#3435.9
51.8#195Assist%#35361.9
48.5#2982P%#35258.1
30.9#3223P%#36440.4
65.7#355FT%—
45.0#663PA rate#450.5

Bellarmine offense vs Northern Illinois defense

Bellarmine OStatNorthern Illinois D
66.1#289Tempo#14769.0
59.4#3eFG%#34255.6
15.5#104TOV%#20216.3
22.4#354ORB%#15930.0
35.0#178FT rate#26838.3
9.1#149Block%#3525.3
53.4#155Assist%#22153.9
61.0#32P%#33556.3
38.1#173P%#31936.3
78.8#6FT%—
41.2#1453PA rate#24537.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Northern Illinois

Mon, Nov 2NGrambling St.326L 87–89
Fri, Mar 6AAkron100L 55–94
Tue, Mar 3HKent St.126L 76–102
Sat, Feb 28HBall St.220L 43–79
Tue, Feb 24AToledo144L 69–79

Bellarmine

Fri, Mar 6NCentral Arkansas177L 73–86
Wed, Mar 4NJacksonville230W 82–79
Sat, Feb 28HAustin Peay195W 111–97
Wed, Feb 25ANorth Alabama315L 68–73
Sat, Feb 21HEastern Kentucky283L 92–95