Model line
Tulsa −17.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Tulsa 97%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Tulsa home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Tulsa a 17.6-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Illinois offense vs Tulsa defense
| Northern Illinois O | Stat | Tulsa D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#147 | Tempo | #16768.6 |
| 47.6#321 | eFG% | #10150.0 |
| 21.8#360 | TOV% | #24815.6 |
| 30.3#189 | ORB% | #11729.1 |
| 38.3#95 | FT rate | #9831.6 |
| 14.5#365 | Block% | #3266.6 |
| 51.8#195 | Assist% | #9849.3 |
| 48.5#298 | 2P% | #9649.9 |
| 30.9#322 | 3P% | #14833.4 |
| 65.7#355 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#66 | 3PA rate | #15440.3 |
Tulsa offense vs Northern Illinois defense
| Tulsa O | Stat | Northern Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.6#167 | Tempo | #14769.0 |
| 56.0#23 | eFG% | #34255.6 |
| 15.3#91 | TOV% | #20216.3 |
| 32.7#98 | ORB% | #15930.0 |
| 41.6#38 | FT rate | #26838.3 |
| 10.0#243 | Block% | #3525.3 |
| 55.6#99 | Assist% | #22153.9 |
| 53.9#88 | 2P% | #33556.3 |
| 39.0#5 | 3P% | #31936.3 |
| 78.3#14 | FT% | — |
| 46.6#36 | 3PA rate | #24537.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Illinois
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Grambling St.326 | L 87–89 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Akron100 | L 55–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Kent St.126 | L 76–102 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Ball St.220 | L 43–79 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Toledo144 | L 69–79 |
Tulsa
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | Auburn27 | L 86–92 |
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | New Mexico66 | W 74–69 |
| Tue, Mar 24 | H | Wichita St.80 | W 83–79 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | UNLV89 | W 77–66 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | W 89–84 |
