Model line
Wisconsin −1.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wisconsin 55%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Neutral
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Wisconsin a 1.2-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Villanova offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Villanova O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Wisconsin offense vs Villanova defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
