Model line
Wisconsin −30.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wisconsin >99%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Wisconsin home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Wisconsin a 30.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairfield offense vs Wisconsin defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Wisconsin D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #15169.0 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #18351.4 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #32814.3 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #7828.2 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #5629.8 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #2228.6 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #14150.8 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #21252.2 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #15033.4 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #14340.6 |
Wisconsin offense vs Fairfield defense
| Wisconsin O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.0#151 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 54.5#54 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 12.8#4 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 29.1#234 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 31.5#268 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 12.5#349 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 57.3#67 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 54.7#66 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 36.2#51 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 78.8#8 | FT% | — |
| 52.1#6 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
Wisconsin
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | High Point61 | L 82–83 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Michigan24 | L 65–68 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Illinois7 | W 91–88 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Washington78 | W 85–82 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Purdue29 | W 97–93 |
