Model line
USC −30.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
USC >99%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
USC home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes USC a 30.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jacksonville offense vs USC defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | USC D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #5471.0 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #8849.7 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #20316.3 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #27032.2 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #13833.4 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #1214.9 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #22854.1 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #19852.0 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #3430.9 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #14840.4 |
USC offense vs Jacksonville defense
| USC O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#54 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 50.4#224 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 17.4#232 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 32.4#111 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 44.2#9 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 8.3#85 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 56.5#81 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 51.8#179 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 31.7#299 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 72.6#183 | FT% | — |
| 34.1#292 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
USC
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Washington78 | L 79–83 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UCLA18 | L 68–89 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Washington78 | L 72–91 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska19 | L 67–82 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | UCLA18 | L 62–81 |
