Model line
UCF −23.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 99%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
UCF home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes UCF a 23.8-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jacksonville offense vs UCF defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Jacksonville defense
| UCF O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
