Model line
Jacksonville −7.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Jacksonville 78%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Jacksonville home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Jacksonville a 7.3-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Little Rock offense vs Jacksonville defense
| Little Rock O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#219 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 49.4#271 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 18.4#290 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 31.5#142 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 27.7#345 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 5.6#1 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 52.2#188 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 47.9#312 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 35.3#100 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 68.0#326 | FT% | — |
| 31.0#339 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Jacksonville offense vs Little Rock defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | Little Rock D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #21967.6 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #20051.8 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #7218.5 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #35736.6 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #13433.1 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #3912.5 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #21853.7 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #18651.9 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #21134.4 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #15140.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Little Rock
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Lindenwood303 | L 62–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Southern Indiana324 | W 89–70 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Morehead St.329 | L 70–76 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Southeast Missouri266 | L 65–70 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Tennessee Martin312 | W 67–65 |
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
