Model line
Jacksonville −10.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Jacksonville 86%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Jacksonville home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Jacksonville a 10.3-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kansas City offense vs Jacksonville defense
| Kansas City O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#34 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 45.7#356 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 18.2#283 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 26.4#311 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 29.2#328 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 9.4#175 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 46.2#312 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 47.6#319 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 28.4#361 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 66.2#350 | FT% | — |
| 36.8#233 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Jacksonville offense vs Kansas City defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | Kansas City D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #3471.4 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #34856.3 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #19516.4 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #35335.9 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #9131.4 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #2478.2 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #17652.4 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #33256.2 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #35237.6 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #20139.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kansas City
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Oral Roberts261 | L 62–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oral Roberts261 | L 70–94 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | South Dakota St.237 | L 59–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 59–95 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | North Dakota328 | L 70–85 |
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
