Model line
UNC Wilmington −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UNC Wilmington 57%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Marshall home
57%Win probability43%
The model makes UNC Wilmington a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UNC Wilmington offense vs Marshall defense
| UNC Wilmington O | Stat | Marshall D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#292 | Tempo | #6570.7 |
| 50.4#223 | eFG% | #11750.3 |
| 14.8#57 | TOV% | #20116.3 |
| 35.3#44 | ORB% | #31533.8 |
| 40.4#56 | FT rate | #31341.1 |
| 7.9#56 | Block% | #2413.1 |
| 51.7#196 | Assist% | #3146.0 |
| 49.1#282 | 2P% | #11150.3 |
| 35.0#123 | 3P% | #16133.6 |
| 68.7#306 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#195 | 3PA rate | #17739.6 |
Marshall offense vs UNC Wilmington defense
| Marshall O | Stat | UNC Wilmington D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#65 | Tempo | #29266.1 |
| 54.8#48 | eFG% | #3547.5 |
| 16.6#170 | TOV% | #29914.9 |
| 31.9#128 | ORB% | #5227.6 |
| 29.2#329 | FT rate | #10031.7 |
| 8.1#65 | Block% | #3037.3 |
| 56.5#79 | Assist% | #6747.9 |
| 54.6#69 | 2P% | #9049.7 |
| 36.8#33 | 3P% | #629.7 |
| 73.0#168 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#84 | 3PA rate | #8242.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UNC Wilmington
| Sat, Mar 21 | H | Dayton67 | L 61–80 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Yale145 | W 68–67 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Campbell260 | L 70–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Elon233 | W 76–57 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Charleston133 | L 76–79 |
Marshall
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 78–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Georgia Southern307 | L 82–99 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Old Dominion218 | W 97–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Coastal Carolina240 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Appalachian St.234 | W 94–93 |
