Model line
Marshall −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Marshall 89%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Marshall home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Marshall a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Marshall defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Marshall D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #6570.7 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #11750.3 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #20116.3 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #31533.8 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #31341.1 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #2413.1 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #3146.0 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #11150.3 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #16133.6 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #17739.6 |
Marshall offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Marshall O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#65 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 54.8#48 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 16.6#170 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 31.9#128 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 29.2#329 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 8.1#65 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 56.5#79 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 54.6#69 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 36.8#33 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 73.0#168 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#84 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
Marshall
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 78–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Georgia Southern307 | L 82–99 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Old Dominion218 | W 97–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Coastal Carolina240 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Appalachian St.234 | W 94–93 |
